REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
One-sentence brief
A future-facing interface can make fiction look historical through continuity of layout, maps, dates, and numerical precision. Visible state changes prevent that false authority.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
SIMULATION LITERACY
Historical Ledgers, Scenario Registers, and Visible Boundaries
A simulation-literacy standard for keeping source-bounded history, contemporary claims, fictional scenarios, numerical assumptions, and illustrative projections in distinct interface states.
LEVEL 1
ORIENTATION
Why this matters
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Three key points
- Historical and contemporary records remain in the 1999–2026 explorer.
- Future scenarios live on a separate route after a dated cutoff.
- Premise, numerical estimate, and consequence path each carry a distinct label.
LEVEL 2
WORKING BRIEF
Evidence, context, and limits
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Five interface states
The system separates historical dataset claims, annual analytic series, contemporary or ongoing claims, fictional scenarios, and illustrative consequence paths. A source-authored numerical estimate receives an additional calibration warning.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Separate routes reduce confusion
The historical explorer and future scenario register use separate URLs, headings, metadata, and provenance labels. Cross-links explain the transition instead of blending both into one chronological stream.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Dated cutoff
The future route begins with HISTORICAL RECORD ENDS AT 2026-07-24. A dated cutoff is stronger than a vague disclaimer because it tells readers exactly where source-bounded history stops.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Numerical assumptions need their own state
Probability, magnitude, score, priority, and confidence can appear precise. The interface therefore labels them as source-authored estimates that are uncalibrated, overlapping, and non-additive.
FICTIONAL ROGUEINTELLIGENCE.ORG
Consequence path boundary
Immediate, medium-term, and long-term consequences begin only after a second separator. The projection label is repeated so excerpts cannot easily lose their fictional status.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Return path
Every future page offers a direct route back to the 1999–2026 ledger and related literacy standards. Users can recover the evidentiary baseline at any point.
LEVEL 3
COMPLETE DOSSIER
Limitations, game links, and review context
DISPUTED / MULTIPLE ACCOUNTS
Known limitations and gaps
- The workbook is a user-supplied research and scenario-planning input, not an authenticated forecast or intelligence product.
- Probability values are source-authored approximate annual estimates and have not been independently calibrated.
- Scenario families overlap and their counts or probabilities must not be added.
- Consequence paths are illustrative, not predicted outcomes.
- The site provides no operational, publication, specialist, production, activation, or tuning authority.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Historical record and fictional scenario planning
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Glossary cross-reference
Terms are defined for this site’s evidence method, not as universal legal or clinical definitions.
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Decision matrix
| Question | Acceptable treatment | Prohibited implication |
|---|---|---|
| Historical state | Keep source record unchanged and labeled. | Future scenario text inside the historical block. |
| Cutoff | Name the exact date before future material. | A vague “future” tag without temporal boundary. |
| Scenario state | Repeat the fiction label on cards and detail. | Dates and coordinates implying historical fact. |
| Estimate state | Repeat calibration and non-additivity limits. | Numerical precision implying prediction. |
| Projection state | Introduce consequence paths after a second boundary. | Conditional outcomes presented as likely or inevitable. |
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Publication audit checklist
Route separation
Are history and scenarios on different routes?
Pass condition: The historical ledger and future register have separate canonical pages.
Cutoff
Is the date visible above the scenario list?
Pass condition: 2026-07-24 appears before the first future row.
Persistent labels
Do labels survive selection and excerpting?
Pass condition: Cards, detail, estimates, and consequence paths repeat their state.
No live forecast
Does the page avoid model calls and live probability updates?
Pass condition: All content is fixed and source-bounded.
Exit to evidence
Can users return to the historical ledger?
Pass condition: A direct link is present at the top and bottom.
LEVEL 4
RESEARCH EDITION
Sources, methods, and stable links
REAL-WORLD INTERPRETIVE
Linked reports
REAL-WORLD VERIFIED
Method and corrections
This page follows the public method for provenance, confidence, source independence, alternative accounts, limitations, review state, and visible correction.
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